We suggest a model that describes how counterfactuals are constructed and justified. The model can describe how counterfactual beliefs are updated given the unfolding of actual history. It also al- lows us to examine the use of counterfactuals in prediction, and to show that a logically omniscient reasoner gains nothing from using counterfactuals for prediction.
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Titolo: | The Predictive Role of Counterfactuals |
Data di pubblicazione: | 2013 |
Autori: | |
Autori: | DI TILLIO, Alfredo; I., Gilboa; L., Samuelson |
Rivista: | THEORY AND DECISION |
Abstract: | We suggest a model that describes how counterfactuals are constructed and justified. The model can describe how counterfactual beliefs are updated given the unfolding of actual history. It also al- lows us to examine the use of counterfactuals in prediction, and to show that a logically omniscient reasoner gains nothing from using counterfactuals for prediction. |
Codice identificativo Scopus: | 2-s2.0-84872607294 |
Codice identificativo ISI: | WOS:000313663200001 |
Appare nelle tipologie: | 01 - Article in academic journal / Articolo su rivista Scientifica |
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