Spikes in geopolitical risk indices have been associated with lower bank stability, leading supervisors to closely monitor how they are being managed by lenders. We propose a set of key elements that should be part of bank’s geopolitical risk management systems and review an array of plausible future scenarios. We then turn to some initiatives carried out by the SSM and the EBA, including thematic reviews and stress-tests, and look at how crucial geopolitical risk is considered by bank managers. This document was provided by the Economic Governance and EMU Scrutiny Unit at the request of the ECON Committee.

The Impact of Geopolitical Risks on the Resilience of Banks in the Banking Union

Andrea Resti
2025

Abstract

Spikes in geopolitical risk indices have been associated with lower bank stability, leading supervisors to closely monitor how they are being managed by lenders. We propose a set of key elements that should be part of bank’s geopolitical risk management systems and review an array of plausible future scenarios. We then turn to some initiatives carried out by the SSM and the EBA, including thematic reviews and stress-tests, and look at how crucial geopolitical risk is considered by bank managers. This document was provided by the Economic Governance and EMU Scrutiny Unit at the request of the ECON Committee.
2025
Resti, Andrea
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11565/4081900
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