SCENARIOS AND PERSPECTIVES OF THE ELECTRIFICATION OF PUBLIC ROAD TRANSPORT - A benchmark analysis on 9 countries based on an innovative Total Cost and Revenues of Ownership (TCRO) analysis. A sensitivity analysis based on three different scenarios depending on the role of externalities and incentive

The integration of Low and Zero environmental impact buses in LPT fleets contributes to 2 interconnected objectives: sectoral efficiency and environmental sustainability. The UN 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and the Transport policy programs released in all the countries analyzed in this study have set among their specific priorities the access to sustainable, safe and affordable transport systems and the reduction of negative environmental impacts in cities. Policy initiatives in the fields of environment, industry and circular economy are playing a significant role in fostering and accelerating the transition towards zero emissions fleets. The aim of the study is to support the decision-making process of LPT companies and LPT services contracting bodies on bus fleets renewal in urban contexts. The growing complexity of these decisions (due to increasing innovations in policy, organizational and industrial terms) has required a new analysis approach. The analysis models proposed (TCO & TCRO), based on a benchmark approach among different management models and power supply alternatives, allow to better understand scenarios and perspectives of the electrification of public road transport and provide guidance for an efficient selection of solutions to be deployed in different contexts and time scenarios (2021, 2025, 2030).