We develop a novel measure of volatility pass-through to assess international propagation of output volatility shocks to macroeconomic aggregates, equity prices, and currencies. An increase in country’s output volatility is associated with a decrease in its output, consumption, and net exports. The average consumption pass-through is 50% (a 1% increase in output volatility increases consumption volatility by 0.5%) and it increases to 70% for shocks originating in smaller countries. The equity volatility pass-through is 90%. A novel channel of risk sharing of volatility risks can explain our empirical findings.

Volatility risk pass-through

Croce, Mariano Massimiliano;
2022

Abstract

We develop a novel measure of volatility pass-through to assess international propagation of output volatility shocks to macroeconomic aggregates, equity prices, and currencies. An increase in country’s output volatility is associated with a decrease in its output, consumption, and net exports. The average consumption pass-through is 50% (a 1% increase in output volatility increases consumption volatility by 0.5%) and it increases to 70% for shocks originating in smaller countries. The equity volatility pass-through is 90%. A novel channel of risk sharing of volatility risks can explain our empirical findings.
2022
2021
Colacito, Riccardo; Croce, Mariano Massimiliano; Liu, Yang; Shaliastovich, Ivan
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11565/4039285
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