In robust bayesian analysis, ranges of quantities of interest (e. g. posterior means) are usually considered when the prior probability measure varies in a class Γ. Such quantities describe the variation of just one aspect of the posterior measure. The concentration function describes changes in the posterior probability measure more globally, detecting differences in probability concentration and providing, simultaneously, bounds on the posterior probability of all measurable subsets. In this paper, we present a novel use of the concentration function, and two concentration indices, to study such posterior changes for a general class Γ, restricting then our attention to some ∈-contamination classes of priors. © 1995 Società Italiana di Statistica.
Concentration function and sensitivity to the prior
FORTINI, SANDRA;
1995
Abstract
In robust bayesian analysis, ranges of quantities of interest (e. g. posterior means) are usually considered when the prior probability measure varies in a class Γ. Such quantities describe the variation of just one aspect of the posterior measure. The concentration function describes changes in the posterior probability measure more globally, detecting differences in probability concentration and providing, simultaneously, bounds on the posterior probability of all measurable subsets. In this paper, we present a novel use of the concentration function, and two concentration indices, to study such posterior changes for a general class Γ, restricting then our attention to some ∈-contamination classes of priors. © 1995 Società Italiana di Statistica.
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