Engagement in a costly and destructive war can be understood as the punishment for entering into a dispute. Institutions that reduce the chance that disputes lead to war make this punishment less severe. This may incentivize hawkish political choices like militarization, and potentially o¤set the bene ts of peace-brokering institutions. We analyze a simple model in which unmediated peace talks are effective at improving the chances of peace for a given distribution of military strength. But, once the effects on militarization are considered the presence of unmediated talks leads to a higher incidence of war. Not all conict resolution institutions su¤er from this drawback. We identify a form of third-party mediation, inspired by the work of Myerson, and show that it can e¤ectively broker peace in disputes once they emerge, and also minimize the level of equilibrium militarization.
Dispute resolution institutions and strategic militarization
Morelli, Massimo;Squintani, Francesco
2019
Abstract
Engagement in a costly and destructive war can be understood as the punishment for entering into a dispute. Institutions that reduce the chance that disputes lead to war make this punishment less severe. This may incentivize hawkish political choices like militarization, and potentially o¤set the bene ts of peace-brokering institutions. We analyze a simple model in which unmediated peace talks are effective at improving the chances of peace for a given distribution of military strength. But, once the effects on militarization are considered the presence of unmediated talks leads to a higher incidence of war. Not all conict resolution institutions su¤er from this drawback. We identify a form of third-party mediation, inspired by the work of Myerson, and show that it can e¤ectively broker peace in disputes once they emerge, and also minimize the level of equilibrium militarization.File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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