State space models have gained tremendous popularity in recent years in as disparate fields as engineering, economics, genetics and ecology, just to mention a few. After a detailed introduction to general state space models the book focuses on dynamic linear models, emphasizing their Bayesian analysis. Whenever possible it is shown how to compute estimates and forecasts in closed form; for more complex models, simulation techniques are used. A final chapter covers modern sequential Monte Carlo algorithms. The book illustrates all the fundamental steps needed to use dynamic linear models in practice, using R. Many detailed examples based on real data sets are provided to show how to set up a specific model, estimate its parameters, and use it for forecasting. All the code used in the book is also available online.
Dynamic linear models with R
PETRONE, SONIA;
2009
Abstract
State space models have gained tremendous popularity in recent years in as disparate fields as engineering, economics, genetics and ecology, just to mention a few. After a detailed introduction to general state space models the book focuses on dynamic linear models, emphasizing their Bayesian analysis. Whenever possible it is shown how to compute estimates and forecasts in closed form; for more complex models, simulation techniques are used. A final chapter covers modern sequential Monte Carlo algorithms. The book illustrates all the fundamental steps needed to use dynamic linear models in practice, using R. Many detailed examples based on real data sets are provided to show how to set up a specific model, estimate its parameters, and use it for forecasting. All the code used in the book is also available online.
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